September 23, 2020
The Economy Is Our Biggest Unifier
For the first time in a national presidential election, the Latino vote (for the Republican party) is in play… and that’s a good thing. It’s a sign that a strong economy can truly rise above issues of class warfare and identity politics.
But who would have thought Donald Trump would be the candidate to prove it?
Do you remember that now-infamous ride down the Trump Tower escalator ahead of the 2016 race? (I mean, who could forget it?!)
I was in my New York City office watching the TV monitors from the corner of my eye as I typed out my scripts for the afternoon show.
I remember seeing Melania, looking bold and gorgeous in an off-the-shoulder white dress… And, her husband? Well, as you know, for better or worse, he was – and IS – just as epic.
But as soon as I heard him start talking about Latinos, my jaw dropped and I ran out of my office, “Are you hearing this?” I asked my team…”You’ve gotta’ watch!”
But the words were already out of his mouth…
When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best… They’re sending people that have a lot of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with [them]. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.
We ended up running the tape again later that day… everyone did. It made the rounds on every show, on every network that day… and the next… and the next… If nothing else, Donald Trump had certainly established himself as a media attraction – albeit one that seemed quite anti-Hispanic at that.
So, given all he said about illegal immigrants from Mexico being “rapists and drug dealers” – can Hispanics in America ever forgive him?
Well, judging by new poll numbers, they can… and they have.
And this tells me one thing – economic prosperity is THE single most important issue for voters… far more than identity politics, which the Left too often courts and has come to depend on.
Indeed, even the New York Times admitted as much in a recent piece…
Biden continues to struggle with Hispanic voters. Trump, despite making repeated appeals to white nationalism and castigating immigrants, has a chance to do better among Hispanic voters than he did in 2016, and win more than a third of them, even as he does worse with white voters. One possible explanation – a worrisome one for Democrats in the long run – is that Hispanics are following a path not so different from earlier European immigrant groups, like Italian and Irish Americans. As they assimilated, they became less reliably Democratic. To oversimplify, they voted for F.D.R. and then for Reagan.
You see, what even the New York Times is waking up to is the reality that Latinos are in no way different than any other group of Americans.
I don’t care if you’re orange, green, purple, pink, black, white, male, female, whatever… we all share something in common: the desire to ensure our financial success for ourselves and our families. It’s not that hard… And yet, the Left wants to assume that people will vote with their identity more than with their wallets.
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But it’s just the opposite. People vote with their wallets… not their ethnicity. It is the economy, stupid.
Judging by recent poll numbers, it’s clear the president is increasingly making ground with a group once assumed “untouchable” by the Republican Party… and, most definitely, untouchable by a certain President Trump.
A recent poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden trailing President Trump among Latinos in Florida. The poll, conducted between August 31 and September 6, found that Trump led among the demographic with 50% support to Biden’s 46%.
Even though the margin is small, the results are quite surprising to the Biden folks, given that Hillary Clinton received 62% of Florida’s Latino vote to Trump’s 35% in 2016.
I’m not sure how Biden can gain Florida given that he’s losing so much of the traditionally Democratic base. In Florida, there are more than 3.14 million eligible Latino voters (20.5% of the state’s voting population), and many live in the Democratic counties Biden needs to win if he hopes to succeed in Florida.
Hillary Clinton won the Hispanic demographic big-time in 2016, and yet, she still went on to lose the state by nearly 290,000 votes. This tells you that if Biden can’t get Latinos on board, he’ll need to make up the difference with independents, or even Republicans. And it’s not clear he can… As such, the state may very well go to Trump.
On the national level, the Latino vote is more challenging for the president. Indeed, another poll released this week shows Joe Biden leading President Trump by 62% to 26% among Latino registered voters nationally. And yet, Biden’s lead is significantly behind what Hillary Clinton’s advantage was among Latinos at the same stage in 2016, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo poll released Sunday.
Meanwhile, the all-important issue of “who is better” at dealing with the economy shows that nationally among Hispanics, it’s a pretty even split – 41% say Biden and 39% say Trump.
And remember – the economy matters.
Hispanics are like every other American… We all want opportunity, and we believe in a meritocracy. If Trump is the person to deliver economic success for a family, that will and does matter…
Bottom line? The president needs the Latino vote. A source involved with the campaign told me over the weekend that, “If he can take Florida, the math works that he may not even need Pennsylvania.”
Miami-Dade County is the “crown jewel” for either candidate, and a MiamiHerald poll indicates that 73% of Cuban-Americans in Miami-Dade County have a favorable opinion of Trump, compared with a 23% unfavorable opinion. Meanwhile, only 32% of Cuban-Americans view the former vice president favorably, while 63% do not. And what about among the county’s Hispanic voters in general? Trump has a stronger approval rating (53% favorable to 44% unfavorable) than Biden (47% favorable to 44 percent%).
In addition, a report in El Diario shows the majority of Venezuelan-Americans in the state of Florida with the right to vote are overwhelmingly supporting President Trump…
Capitalism isn’t perfect, but it sure beats the alternative… And many of the Cubans and Venezuelans who immigrated to the states are well aware of this fact.
Sometimes, he is a bit rough around the edges in terms of polished political speak… But Trump is someone who can offer Americans, including so many immigrant Americans, a shot at the American Dream…
And the American Dream transcends identity politics… because, fundamentally, there’s one thing we should all inherently comprehend and appreciate as Americans… It’s what unites us… economic success.
Now here are some of the stories we’re reading…
Trish’s Take: Left Looks to ‘Pack the Court’ Threatening America’s Separation of Powers
The biggest problem with this is it would forever change the value, position, and statue of the Supreme Court.
The Democratic nominee has a Latino-voter problem
Biden’s average lead among Latinos is 9 points lower than Clinton’s around this time four years ago. If Biden can’t close the deal with this crucial constituency, it could spell trouble for him across the country.
What Investors With $3.4 Trillion Are Buying During COVID
In interviews with sovereign wealth funds, pension firms, and asset managers across Asia and Europe that collectively manage about $3.4 trillion, one thing was clear: many of them are avoiding the overheated stock market.
CDC Removes Guidelines Saying Coronavirus Can Spread From Tiny Air Particles
Health agency removed the language, which had gone up on its website, saying it had posted a draft version of proposed changes in error.
And let us know what you’re reading at [email protected].
Executive Editor, American Consequences
With P.J. O’Rourke and the Editorial Staff
September 23, 2020