November 4, 2020
Get Ready for a Ballot-Counting Dogfight
Everyone was hoping for the big election results last night, but sort of predictably, they didn’t materialize… President Trump clearly outperformed the pollsters’ expectations – who were off by a shocking margin, and invariably in favor of Joe Biden. The predictions of a Biden blowout were so far-off, the polling profession may never recover.
The red wave was at least somewhat real… There was a silent (near) majority, and the repudiation of the Trump agenda that the media tried so hard to create failed spectacularly.
Trump won Florida and Ohio handily, despite predictions that he would struggle or lose in both key battleground states. All the red states except Arizona seemed to be going for Trump, and the mood for the night was on the verge of becoming jubilant for the GOP faithful.
But it’s far from over…
Just as the Trump camp was ready to bust out the election victory champagne, the vote counts were called to a halt in a number of states. In Georgia, where Trump was clearly ahead, a pipe suddenly burst, and the state claimed that it would need more time, perhaps a full 24 hours, for a full accounting.
In other key battleground states – Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – Democrat-controlled state governments said there were many votes left to count, and it could take “days.” Trump was up hundreds of thousands of votes in Pennsylvania at the end of election night, but there may not be a final call about the winner until Friday. Frankly, it’s a mess.
That’s the official timeline for vote counting. Given the changes to voting processes made during this cycle as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, there’s a mountain of mail-in ballots out there that still need to be counted in key states. This will include some with missing postmarked or otherwise dubious authenticity… which means this election battle is highly likely to end up in the courts.
It would be much better for the process (and for the country) if we could have a clear winner established in the next 48 hours. But at this time of tremendous political polarization, we may have an election result that is marred by accusations of fraud, cheating, and overall distrust.
Let’s hope these battleground states get their act together quickly, and we can all soon agree as a nation who the winner of the 2020 election actually is.
Here are some of the Election Day stories we’re reading…
Once Again, a Nation Cuts It Too Close for Comfort The country is, once again, cutting it close in a presidential election. As in: Very, very close. Too close to give genuine comfort to either Trump or former Vice President Joe Biden. Too close that American politics has turned a partisan or ideological or demographic corner in any decisive way.
The blowout the chattering class predicted hasn’t come to pass. The hidden Trump vote would appear to have thrown off the polls again — a phenomenon that illuminates the inhibited political ethos a punishing media has fostered in this country, where a significant swath of America quite understandably conceals its real views until it enters the privacy of the polling booth.
Stock-market hope for a ‘blue wave’ Election Day outcome washes out Stock-index futures were turbulent but appeared to be trying to extend Tuesday’s gains, despite the blue wave turning into more of a mist.
Huge turnout, fraying nerves: the story of election night From the start of the night, presenters from CNN to Fox News had two words ringing in their ears as they tried to hold on tight to a long and nail-biting night: patience and caution.
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Executive Editor, American Consequences
With Editorial Staff
November 4, 2020